It’s all going down the wire at the top of the Premiership
Nothing has been decided at the top of the Premiership table but, in my opinion, it is all over bar the shouting at the bottom.
Manchester City are a point ahead of Liverpool with just two games each to go.
I expect City will have enough to win it … and complete the domestic treble in the process. Some feat. I can’t see Watford troubling them in the Cup Final.
Let’s examine the remaining fixtures.
City face Leicester at home on the Monday night (May 6) and play away at Brighton on the final weekend of the season. I expect them to have too much for Leicester and, by the time the last weekend comes, I expect Brighton to have secured their place in the league for next season so can’t see them troubling City.
If City win both games they are guaranteed to be champions.
Liverpool play away at Newcastle followed by a home game against Wolves. If either of the top two will drop points I believe Liverpool’s final two opponents are capable of getting a draw and spoil the Reds’ title ambitions.
It’s more than possible Liverpool could lose only one game this season (against City) and not win the league. Arsenal’s unbeaten Invincibles gained 90 points. Liverpool, with two games to play, already have 91.
I’m writing this soon after City won at Burnley by an inch. The ball was ruled to be 29.1mm over the line (an inch is 25.4; call me a liar for less than 4mm).
There is no doubt in my mind that without goal-line technology Aguero’s goal would not have been awarded.
That said, technology hasn’t exactly been kind to City lately. In real time their Champions League late “goal” against Spurs looked to be the winner. Win some …
Below City and Liverpool the race for the final two Champions League places remains unclear.
I say two but, given Arsenal and City are still in the Europa reckoning (with the Champions League awaiting the Europa winners) maybe there’s still a twist to come in the tail.
United’s draw against Chelsea was probably not enough to give them Champions League football next season. This will hurt them in their pursuit of top players for next season. Even if you have the money to spend, players want to play in the biggest competitions.
I’m not sure the “join us and we can win big things” inducement will be enough to lure the very best.
Still can’t believe the poor form of David de Gea in recent games. In the past his saves have been worth many points to Manchester United. Everyone goes through a bad patch.
I believe de Gea and several other United stars will leave if, as I expect, they do not qualify for the Champions League.
I think Cardiff are gone, joining Fulham and Huddersfield. Their last two games are against Palace at home then away at Manchester United on the last day. They would need to win both and Brighton to lose both.
Can’t see it, but Brighton have the most difficult run-in. Apart from City they must face Arsenal away.
I believe Brighton will not gain another point this season but their four point advantage over Cardiff should prove enough.
Congratulations to Norwich and Sheffield United for securing a place in the Premiership next season.
Who will join them? Well, we still have the pay-offs to look forward to.